Startup analysis

Put uncertainty beside the upside.

Reference case: LumenGrid AI LtdSee how PIIP makes high return potential comparable with severe illiquidity, concentration, downside and model uncertainty.

Open this analysis Watch walkthrough

Startup analysis walkthroughModelled reference data

The recording shows how a high-upside startup produces a wider return distribution and lower quality score once uncertainty and liquidity are incorporated.

Expected return42.0%

PRAR1.29

PIQ47

PFR69%

Liquidity8

Venture research framework

Challenge the growth engine and the exit.

Runway

Cash, burn and financing requirements show how long the company can execute before needing capital.

Burn multiple

Net burn relative to new recurring revenue tests the efficiency of growth.

Retention

Gross and net revenue retention reveal whether customer value compounds or leaks away.

Unit economics

LTV, CAC, contribution margin and payback period test whether scaling creates economic value.

Venture-return scenarios

Dilution, exit value and probability-weighted MOIC make the path from company outcome to investor return explicit.